Previous workers have attempted to predict the cumulative number of cases of Coronavirus
Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China.
1
However, since then, the epidemic has rapidly evolved into a pandemic affecting multiple
countries worlwide.
- Fu X.
- Ying Q.
- Zeng T.
- Long T.
- Wang Y.
Simulating and forecasting the cumulative confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in China by
Boltzmann function-based regression analyses.
J Infect. 2020; (pii: S0163-4453(20)30098-0)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2020.02.019
2
There have been serious debates about how to react to the spread of this disease,
particularly by European countries, such as Italy, Spain, Germany, France and the
UK, e.g. from closing schools and universities to locking down entire cities and countries.
An alternative strategy would be to allow the causal virus (SARS-CoV-2) to spread
to increase the population herd immunity, but at the same time protecting the elderly
and those with multiple comorbidities, who are the most vulnerable to this virus.
3
Coronavirus: some scientists say UK virus strategy is `risking lives'. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-51892402. Accessed 14 March2020.
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References
- Simulating and forecasting the cumulative confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in China by Boltzmann function-based regression analyses.J Infect. 2020; (pii: S0163-4453(20)30098-0)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2020.02.019
- World Health Organization, 2020
Coronavirus: some scientists say UK virus strategy is `risking lives'. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-51892402. Accessed 14 March2020.
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Article Info
Publication History
Published online: March 21, 2020
Accepted:
March 18,
2020
Identification
Copyright
© 2020 The British Infection Association. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
